The Operation Hydra Collection + The Chroma Collection

Covert → knife or gloves · Items in the contract: 5

Average profit +26 404.91₴

Invest 79 268.89₴

Average return 105 673.81₴

ROI +33.3%

Chance of profit 18%

With float: invest at least 178 527.34 ₴, profit at most −72 853.54 ₴

float premium: at least 91 164 ₴

The gain is understated: 2 outcomes have no price, that is 5.0% of the chance

Sell on CSFloat / Market.CSGO: without them the profit is −59 307.40 ₴

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

≈1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract

×3

Five-SeveN | Hyper Beast

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0039

66 861.75 ₴

at 22 287.25

Steam

×2

AWP | Man-o'-war

Minimal Wear

buy 0.1000–0.1027

12 407.14 ₴

at 6 203.57

Steam

Set · 5 pcs 79 268.89 ₴ +26 404.91 (+33.3%)

The gain is understated: 2 outcomes have no price, that is 3.3% of the chance

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −11 004 ₴

1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract

×2

Five-SeveN | Hyper Beast

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0062

44 574.50 ₴

at 22 287.25

Steam

×1

AWP | Man-o'-war

Minimal Wear

buy 0.1000–0.1044

6 203.57 ₴

at 6 203.57

Steam

×2

Galil AR | Chatterbox

Field-Tested

buy 0.3500–0.3526

23 588.73 ₴

at 11 794.37

Steam

Set · 5 pcs 74 366.80 ₴ +4 241.18 (+5.7%)

What you get 54 outcomes

Profitable outcome 15%
Losing outcome 75%
About break-even 5%
Above the Steam cap 5%

Order

at a loss

★ Hand Wraps | Spruce DDPAT

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

39 898.21 ₴ 2.50%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

★ Hand Wraps | Badlands

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

61 973.73 ₴ 2.50%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

★ Hand Wraps | Leather

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

39 460.88 ₴ 2.50%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

at a loss

★ Hand Wraps | Slaughter

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

51 844.00 ₴ 2.50%

sell on CSFloat pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Moto Gloves | Eclipse

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

29 528.58 ₴ 2.50%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

★ Moto Gloves | Spearmint

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

not on Steam: above the cap 2.50%

Steam

at a loss

★ Moto Gloves | Boom!

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

72 375.09 ₴ 2.50%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

★ Moto Gloves | Cool Mint

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

97 268.50 ₴ 2.50%

sell on Market.CSGO

Steam

at a loss

★ Driver Gloves | Lunar Weave

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

52 989.64 ₴ 2.50%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

at a loss

★ Driver Gloves | Convoy

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

66 821.70 ₴ 2.50%

price without deals

Steam

about break-even

★ Driver Gloves | Crimson Weave

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

83 147.44 ₴ 2.50%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

at a loss

★ Driver Gloves | Diamondback

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

75 776.26 ₴ 2.50%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

★ Specialist Gloves | Forest DDPAT

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

46 475.68 ₴ 2.50%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

★ Specialist Gloves | Emerald Web

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

190 244.94 ₴ 2.50%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

★ Specialist Gloves | Crimson Kimono

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

not on Steam: above the cap 2.50%

Steam

about break-even

★ Specialist Gloves | Foundation

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

77 368.02 ₴ 2.50%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

in profit

best

★ Sport Gloves | Hedge Maze

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

1 316 875.69 ₴ 2.50%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

in profit

★ Sport Gloves | Superconductor

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

418 015.45 ₴ 2.50%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

in profit

★ Sport Gloves | Arid

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

128 092.00 ₴ 2.50%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

in profit

★ Sport Gloves | Pandora's Box

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

961 810.05 ₴ 2.50%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

at a loss

★ Bloodhound Gloves | Charred

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

53 779.82 ₴ 2.50%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

★ Bloodhound Gloves | Guerrilla

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

25 623.88 ₴ 2.50%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

★ Bloodhound Gloves | Bronzed

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

69 713.52 ₴ 2.50%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

★ Bloodhound Gloves | Snakebite

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

15 724.46 ₴ 2.50%

sell on Market.CSGO

Steam

at a loss

★ Bayonet | Doppler

Factory New

float up to 0.001081

20 757.16 ₴ 1.33%

pricier variants exist lots by number 7 phases, price averaged

Steam

at a loss

★ Bayonet | Marble Fade

Factory New

float up to 0.001081

17 375.42 ₴ 1.33%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Bayonet | Tiger Tooth

Factory New

float up to 0.001081

14 902.53 ₴ 1.33%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Bayonet | Damascus Steel

Factory New

float up to 0.006756

11 132.42 ₴ 1.33%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Bayonet | Rust Coat

Well-Worn

float up to 0.408108

9 395.12 ₴ 1.33%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Bayonet | Ultraviolet

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

57 994.09 ₴ 1.33%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Flip Knife | Doppler

Factory New

float up to 0.001081

16 920.63 ₴ 1.33%

pricier variants exist lots by number 7 phases, price averaged

Steam

at a loss

★ Flip Knife | Marble Fade

Factory New

float up to 0.001081

13 757.12 ₴ 1.33%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Flip Knife | Tiger Tooth

Factory New

float up to 0.001081

11 215.16 ₴ 1.33%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Flip Knife | Damascus Steel

Factory New

float up to 0.006756

7 577.78 ₴ 1.33%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Flip Knife | Rust Coat

Well-Worn

float up to 0.408108

7 554.37 ₴ 1.33%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Flip Knife | Ultraviolet

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

24 738.72 ₴ 1.33%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Gut Knife | Doppler

Factory New

float up to 0.001081

6 148.21 ₴ 1.33%

pricier variants exist lots by number 7 phases, price averaged

Steam

at a loss

★ Gut Knife | Marble Fade

Factory New

float up to 0.001081

5 657.83 ₴ 1.33%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Gut Knife | Tiger Tooth

Factory New

float up to 0.001081

4 962.86 ₴ 1.33%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Gut Knife | Damascus Steel

Factory New

float up to 0.006756

3 604.01 ₴ 1.33%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

worst

★ Gut Knife | Rust Coat

Well-Worn

float up to 0.408108

2 679.68 ₴ 1.33%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Gut Knife | Ultraviolet

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

9 612.60 ₴ 1.33%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Karambit | Doppler

Factory New

float up to 0.001081

77 544.74 ₴ 1.33%

pricier variants exist lots by number 7 phases, price averaged

Steam

at a loss

★ Karambit | Marble Fade

Factory New

float up to 0.001081

62 144.95 ₴ 1.33%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Karambit | Tiger Tooth

Factory New

float up to 0.001081

39 289.34 ₴ 1.33%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Karambit | Damascus Steel

Factory New

float up to 0.006756

41 357.20 ₴ 1.33%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Karambit | Rust Coat

Well-Worn

float up to 0.408108

35 362.18 ₴ 1.33%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Karambit | Ultraviolet

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

74 158.53 ₴ 1.33%

sell on CSFloat pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ M9 Bayonet | Doppler

Factory New

float up to 0.001081

51 696.50 ₴ 1.33%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number 7 phases, price averaged

Steam

at a loss

★ M9 Bayonet | Marble Fade

Factory New

float up to 0.001081

41 968.27 ₴ 1.33%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ M9 Bayonet | Tiger Tooth

Factory New

float up to 0.001081

31 700.46 ₴ 1.33%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ M9 Bayonet | Damascus Steel

Factory New

float up to 0.006756

37 760.67 ₴ 1.33%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ M9 Bayonet | Rust Coat

Well-Worn

float up to 0.408108

29 047.30 ₴ 1.33%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ M9 Bayonet | Ultraviolet

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

67 000.30 ₴ 1.33%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

float markup by input how many times more the lots with the needed float cost

Five-SeveN | Hyper Beast (Factory New) × 3 6% of the wear range fits at least ×2.26 66 861.75 → 151 107.55 ₴

AWP | Man-o'-war (Minimal Wear) × 2 6% of the wear range fits at least ×2.21 12 407.14 → 27 419.79 ₴

The markup is taken from a check of Steam 25–26.09.2026 listings. It shows how many times the needed number of cheapest listings with a fitting float cost more than the cheapest listing of this wear. It depends on the width of the float window and on the number of items.

Average float of the set

average normalized 0.013513414

outcomes come out up to 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.001081, 0.001081, 0.001081, 0.006756, 0.408108, 0.069999, 0.001081, 0.001081, 0.001081, 0.006756, 0.408108, 0.069999, 0.001081, 0.001081, 0.001081, 0.006756, 0.408108, 0.069999, 0.001081, 0.001081, 0.001081, 0.006756, 0.408108, 0.069999, 0.001081, 0.001081, 0.001081, 0.006756, 0.408108, 0.069999

How to read float

«No higher than» — is a guarantee. The limits are calculated together: take all items with the float at the upper bound and you get exactly the result shown. With a lower float the result will be better.

f′ — the same float, brought to 0–1 by the skin's own range. CSFloat counts the same way.

I already have items

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Operation Hydra Collection + The Chroma Collection

Variant 2 The Glove Collection instead of The Chroma Collection Variant 3 The Glove Collection instead of The Operation Hydra Collection Variant 4 only The Operation Hydra Collection Variant 5 The Dead Hand Collection instead of The Chroma Collection Variant 6 The Huntsman Collection instead of The Operation Hydra Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +23 720.06 ₴ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +26 104.16 ₴ historical median

8% of outcomes (by probability) have less than two weeks of price history, their price is taken as of today.

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Chroma Collection and The Operation Hydra Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 1 craft almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2942232 · The Chroma Collection + The Operation Hydra Collection · profit 26 404.91₴ · invest 79 268.89₴
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Operation Hydra Collection + The Chroma Collection

How to build i Ways to build 3 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 54 outcomes

More

How to build